Do nonlinearities play a significant role in short term,beat-to-beat variability? Choi, H.G. Mukkamala, R. Moody, G.B. Mark, R.G. This paper appears in: Computers in Cardiology 2001 Publication Date: 2001 On page(s): 53-56 Meeting Date: 09/23/2001 - 09/26/2001 Location: Rotterdam, Netherlands ISBN: 0-7803-7266-2 References Cited: 8 INSPEC Accession Number: 7176635 DOI: 10.1109/CIC.2001.977589 Posted online: 2002-08-06 23:57:50.0 Abstract Numerous studies of short-term beat-to-beat variability in cardiovascular signals have not resolved the debate about the completeness of linear analysis techniques. This paper further evaluates the role of nonlinearities in short-term beat-to-beat variability. We compared linear autoregressive moving average (ARMA) and nonlinear neural network (NN) models for predicting instantaneous heart rate (HR) and mean arterial blood pressure (BP) from past HR and BP. To evaluate these models, we used HR and BP time series from the MIMIC database. Experimental results indicate that NN-based nonlinearities do not play a significant role and suggest that ARMA linear analysis techniques provide adequate characterization of the system dynamics responsible for generating short-term beat-to-beat variability